Jeff Benton
This one’s mostly about Colorado starting pitcher Aaron Cook, who has righted his season after a shaky beginning. Cook has delivered four consecutive quality starts, allowing a total of eight earned runs in 27 innings (2.67 ERA), including back-to-back strong outings against the Padres (one run allowed in eight innings) and Florida (one earned run allowed in six innings).
Today, Cook faces a Pirates lineup that has stopped hitting (three runs scored or fewer in five of its last eight games). More importantly, Pittsburgh has stopped winning, losing 14 of its last 17 games, including six of its last nine at home, including Friday’s 3-1 loss in which the Bucs blew a 1-0 ninth-inning lead. The Pirates also struggle to post victories when Ian Snell is pitching, going 1-6 in his seven starts this season, including 0-4 in his last four outings. And if you take away the one victory – a 10-0 home win over Atlanta – the Pirates have scored a grand total of 15 runs in his six losses (or 2.5 per game). They’ve also been held to a single run in each of their last two games.
The Rockies are 3-1 in Cook’s four career starts against Pittsburgh, including a pair of wins last July by scores of 11-3 and 7-4, and the right-hander has pitched at least six innings in all four of his appearances against the Pirates. Throw in the fact that this game will be played under the lights – Cook has a 2.57 ERA in two night games, while Snell has a 9.00 ERA in three night starts – and I’ll take a shot with the better team, the better starting pitcher and the vastly superior bullpen at a cheap price.
4♦ COLORADO (based on a 1♦ to 10♦ scale)